Toryn Schafer
Toryn Schafer
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Drift vs Shift: Decoupling Trends and Changepoint Analysis
We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based …
Haoxuan Wu
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Sean Ryan
,
David S. Matteson
Trend and Variance Adaptive Bayesian Changepoint Analysis and Local Outlier Scoring
We adaptively estimate both changepoints and local outlier processes in a Bayesian dynamic linear model with global-local shrinkage …
Haoxuan Wu
,
Toryn L.J. Schafer
,
David S. Matteson
Clustering future scenarios based on predicted range maps
Abstract Predictions of biodiversity trajectories under climate change are crucial in order to act effectively in maintaining the …
Matthew Davidow
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Cory Merow
,
Judy Che-Castaldo
,
Marie-Christine Duker
,
Emily Feng
,
David S. Matteson
Joint use of location and acceleration data reveals influences on transitions among habitats in wintering birds
Quantifying relationships between animal behavior and habitat use is essential to understanding animal decision-making. High-resolution …
Jay A. VonBank
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Stephanie A. Cunningham
,
Mitch D. Weegman
,
Paul T. Link
,
Kevin J. Kraai
,
Christopher K. Wikle
,
Daniel P. Collins
,
Lei Cao
,
Bart M. Ballard
Time-varying effects of local weather on behavior and probability of breeding deferral in two Arctic-nesting goose populations
Arctic-nesting geese face energetic challenges during spring migration, including ecological barriers and weather conditions (e.g., …
Stephanie A. Cunningham
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Christopher K. Wikle
,
Jay A. VonBank
,
Bart M. Ballard
,
Lei Cao
,
Stuart Bearhop
,
Anthony D. Fox
,
Geoff M. Hilton
,
Alyn J. Walsh
,
Larry R. Griffin
,
Mitch D. Weegman
Analysis of animal-related electric outages using species distribution models and community science data
Animal-related outages (AROs) are a prevalent form of outages in electrical distribution systems. Animal-infrastructure interactions …
Mei-Ling E. Feng
,
Olukunle O. Owolabi
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Sanhita Sengupta
,
Lan Wang
,
David S. Matteson
,
Judy P. Che-Castaldo
,
Deborah A. Sunter
Preprint
PDF
Analysis of animal-related electric outages using species distribution models and community science data
Animal-related outages (AROs) are a prevalent form of outages in electrical distribution systems. Animal-infrastructure interactions …
Mei-Ling E Feng
,
Olukunle O Owolabi
,
Toryn L J Schafer
,
Sanhita Sengupta
,
Lan Wang
,
David S Matteson
,
Judy P Che-Castaldo
,
Deborah A Sunter
Bayesian Inverse Reinforcement Learning for Collective Animal Movement
Agent-based methods allow for defining simple rules that generate complex group behaviors. The governing rules of such models are …
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Christopher K. Wikle
,
Mevin B. Hooten
Preprint
PDF
Clustering Future Scenarios Based on Predicted Range Maps
Predictions of biodiversity trajectories under climate change are crucial in order to act effectively in maintaining the diversity of …
Matthew Davidow
,
Cory Merow
,
Judy Che-Castaldo
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Marie-Christine Duker
,
Derek Corcoran
,
David Matteson
Preprint
Joint analysis of structured and semi-structured community science data improves precision of relative abundance but not trends in birds
Estimating absolute and relative abundance of wildlife populations is critical to addressing ecological questions and conservation …
Alexander R. Schindler
,
Stephanie A. Cunningham
,
Toryn L. J. Schafer
,
Emily A. Sinnott
,
Sarah J. Clements
,
Frances M. DiDonato
,
Alisha R. Mosloff
,
Clay M. Walters
,
Amy A. Shipley
,
Mitch D. Weegman
,
Qing Zhao
»
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